Value bet: Gaziantep FK to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGaziantep FK to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.65
Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Gaziantep FK take on Fatih Karagümrük on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Kalyon Stadyumu.
Form guide
Gaziantep FK's last 4: LDLL Most recently they lost to Fenerbahçe 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Fatih Karagümrük's last 4: WLDL Most recently they beat Fethiyespor 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fatih Karagümrük arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Gaziantep FK and 1.0 for Fatih Karagümrük. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gaziantep FK 58%, draw 21%, Fatih Karagümrük 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Gaziantep FK to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Gaziantep FK 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gaziantep FK58%fair 1.71 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Fatih Karagümrük21%fair 4.74 · @3.80
2.74Expected goals
1.79Gaziantep FK xG
0.95Fatih Karagümrük xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Gaziantep FK 1.8 – 1.0 Fatih Karagümrük expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gaziantep FK to win✗
58%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Gaziantep FK ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gaziantep FK / FT Gaziantep FK✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.65
–
Form
Gaziantep FK – last 4
LDLL
4 Mar
vs Fenerbahçe
0–4
L
1 Mar
@ Samsunspor
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Trabzonspor
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Kocaelispor
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Fatih Karagümrük – last 4
WLDL
3 Mar
@ Fethiyespor
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Trabzonspor
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Samsunspor
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Kasımpaşa
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gaziantep FK and Fatih Karagümrük.
What is the prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
On our numbers Gaziantep FK have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fatih Karagümrük 21%.
How many goals will there be in Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our predicted score is Gaziantep FK 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Kalyon Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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