Fenerbahçe host Samsunspor in the Süper Lig on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu. Fenerbahçe are 6th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Samsunspor sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fenerbahçe's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Gaziantep FK 4–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Samsunspor's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Antalyaspor 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Fenerbahçe and 0.7 for Samsunspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fenerbahçe 69%, draw 19%, Samsunspor 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fenerbahçe 2–0 Samsunspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fenerbahçe69%fair 1.46 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.35
Samsunspor13%fair 7.90 · @6.80
2.74Expected goals
2.02Fenerbahçe xG
0.71Samsunspor xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–06%
From our goals model: Fenerbahçe 2.0 – 0.7 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenerbahçe to win✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Double chance
Fenerbahçe or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Fenerbahçe ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenerbahçe / FT Fenerbahçe✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.54
–
Form
Fenerbahçe – last 5
WDWDL
4 Mar
@ Gaziantep FK
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Nottingham Forest
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Kasımpaşa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Nottingham Forest
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 6
WDWDWL
5 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Gaziantep FK
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Shkendija
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Fatih Karagümrük
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Shkendija
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Antalyaspor
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenerbahçe and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Fenerbahçe have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Samsunspor 13%.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Fenerbahçe 2–0 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fatih Karagümrük1
Antalyaspor0