Villarreal host Sevilla in the La Liga on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio de la Ceramica. Villarreal are 8th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Sevilla sit 6th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Villarreal's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Mallorca 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sevilla's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Real Sociedad 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Villarreal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.7 for Villarreal and 1.2 for Sevilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Villarreal 1–1 Sevilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villarreal52%fair 1.93 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Sevilla27%fair 3.64 · @3.50
2.87Expected goals
1.71Villarreal xG
1.16Sevilla xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Villarreal 1.7 – 1.2 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Form
Villarreal – last 6
DDLWDW
10 May
@ Mallorca
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Oviedo
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Girona
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Real Sociedad
3–1
W
13 Mar
@ Alaves
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Elche
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sevilla – last 6
WLLLDD
4 May
vs Real Sociedad
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ Levante
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Oviedo
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Barcelona
2–5
L
8 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Real Betis
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal and Sevilla.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Villarreal vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Villarreal have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sevilla 27%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Sevilla?
Our predicted score is Villarreal 1–1 Sevilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Villarreal vs Sevilla?
Villarreal vs Sevilla (La Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mallorca1