Value bet: Athletic Club to win @ 2.68 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Club to win ✗44% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Espanyol vs Athletic Club preview and prediction
The match
Espanyol host Athletic Club in the La Liga on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at RCDE Stadium. Espanyol are 13th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Athletic Club sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Espanyol's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Levante 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Athletic Club's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Valencia 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Athletic Club arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Espanyol and 1.4 for Athletic Club. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Espanyol 33%, draw 22%, Athletic Club 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Athletic Club to win at 2.68 – 44% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Espanyol 1–1 Athletic Club. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Espanyol33%fair 3.00 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Athletic Club44%fair 2.26 · @2.68
2.53Expected goals
1.15Espanyol xG
1.38Athletic Club xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Espanyol 1.2 – 1.4 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
44%
2.26
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.46
–
Form
Espanyol – last 5
DLLDD
27 Apr
vs Levante
0–0
D
23 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Mallorca
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Oviedo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Elche
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Athletic Club – last 6
LWLLWW
10 May
vs Valencia
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Getafe
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Real Sociedad
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Elche
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Oviedo
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Espanyol and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Espanyol have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athletic Club 44%.
How many goals will there be in Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Espanyol 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
Espanyol vs Athletic Club (La Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at RCDE Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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