Oviedo travel to Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in the La Liga on Thursday 14 May (20:30 WAT) to face Real Madrid.
Form guide
Real Madrid's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Alaves 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Oviedo's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Villarreal 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Real Madrid arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Real Madrid and 0.7 for Oviedo. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Madrid 70%, draw 22%, Oviedo 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Madrid to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Real Madrid 2–0 Oviedo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Madrid70%fair 1.43 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @5.40
Oviedo8%fair 12.88 · @8.80
2.93Expected goals
2.23Real Madrid xG
0.69Oviedo xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Real Madrid 2.2 – 0.7 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid to win✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Double chance
Real Madrid or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Half-time result
Real Madrid ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid / FT Real Madrid✓
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
Real Madrid – last 6
WLDLWW
21 Apr
vs Alaves
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Bayern München
3–4
L
10 Apr
vs Girona
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Bayern München
1–2
L
17 Mar
@ Manchester City
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Manchester City
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Oviedo – last 6
DWDLDL
23 Apr
vs Villarreal
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Sevilla
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Real Sociedad
3–3
D
15 Feb
vs Athletic Club
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid and Oviedo.
Our pick is Real Madrid to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Real Madrid vs Oviedo?
On our numbers Real Madrid have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oviedo 8%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid vs Oviedo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Oviedo?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid 2–0 Oviedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid vs Oviedo?
Real Madrid vs Oviedo (La Liga) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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