Value bet: Real Sociedad to win @ 3.50 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGirona to win ✗44% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Girona vs Real Sociedad preview and prediction
The match
Girona host Real Sociedad in the La Liga on Thursday 14 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Form guide
Girona's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Rayo Vallecano 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Real Sociedad's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Sevilla 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Girona and 1.3 for Real Sociedad. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Girona 44%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Real Sociedad to win at 3.50 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Girona 1–1 Real Sociedad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Girona44%fair 2.27 · @1.97
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Real Sociedad36%fair 2.81 · @3.50
2.83Expected goals
1.51Girona xG
1.32Real Sociedad xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Girona 1.5 – 1.3 Real Sociedad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Girona to win✗
44%
2.27
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Girona / FT Girona✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Girona – last 6
DLLDWD
11 May
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
1 May
vs Mallorca
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Real Betis
2–3
L
10 Apr
@ Real Madrid
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Villarreal
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Alaves
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad – last 6
LDLWLW
4 May
@ Sevilla
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
3–3
D
22 Apr
vs Getafe
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Levante
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Villarreal
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Athletic Club
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Girona and Real Sociedad.
What is the prediction for Girona vs Real Sociedad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Girona vs Real Sociedad?
On our numbers Girona have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Sociedad 36%.
How many goals will there be in Girona vs Real Sociedad?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Girona vs Real Sociedad?
Our predicted score is Girona 1–1 Real Sociedad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Girona vs Real Sociedad?
Girona vs Real Sociedad (La Liga) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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