Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Villarreal to win @ 2.85 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarreal to win ✗40% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Mallorca vs Villarreal preview and prediction
The match
Villarreal travel to Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in the La Liga on Sunday 10 May (13:00 WAT) to face Mallorca.
Form guide
Mallorca's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Girona 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Villarreal's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Oviedo 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Mallorca and 1.5 for Villarreal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Value angle: Villarreal to win at 2.85 – 40% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mallorca 1–1 Villarreal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mallorca37%fair 2.68 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Villarreal40%fair 2.50 · @2.85
2.93Expected goals
1.43Mallorca xG
1.49Villarreal xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.4 – 1.5 Villarreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win✗
40%
2.50
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.68
–
Form
Mallorca – last 5
WDWLL
1 May
@ Girona
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Valencia
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Real Betis
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Villarreal – last 6
DLWDWW
23 Apr
@ Oviedo
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Girona
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Real Sociedad
3–1
W
13 Mar
@ Alaves
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Elche
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Valencia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Villarreal.
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Villarreal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mallorca vs Villarreal?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Villarreal 40%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Villarreal?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Villarreal?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–1 Villarreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Villarreal?
Mallorca vs Villarreal (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oviedo