The La Liga sees Athletic Club take on Valencia on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 15:15 (WAT) at Estadio de San Mamés. Athletic Club are 7th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Valencia sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Athletic Club's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Osasuna 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Valencia's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Mallorca 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Athletic Club and 0.8 for Valencia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athletic Club 62%, draw 23%, Valencia 16%.
Safer route: Athletic Club or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Athletic Club 2–0 Valencia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athletic Club62%fair 1.61 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.75
Valencia16%fair 6.43 · @4.75
2.62Expected goals
1.83Athletic Club xG
0.79Valencia xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.8 – 0.8 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
62%
1.61
1.69
Double chance
Athletic Club or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Athletic Club ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.52
–
Form
Athletic Club – last 5
WLLWW
21 Apr
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Getafe
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Real Sociedad
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Elche
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Oviedo
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Valencia – last 5
DLWLW
21 Apr
@ Mallorca
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Celta Vigo
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Villarreal
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Levante
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Valencia.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Valencia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Valencia?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valencia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 2–0 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Valencia?
Athletic Club vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de San Mamés.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mallorca1
Oviedo