Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSevilla to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.16
Oviedo vs Sevilla preview and prediction
The match
The La Liga sees Oviedo take on Sevilla on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Form guide
Oviedo's last 4: DLDL Most recently they drew with Espanyol 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Sevilla's last 4: LDDW Most recently they lost to Barcelona 2–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sevilla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Oviedo and 1.3 for Sevilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oviedo 34%, draw 26%, Sevilla 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Sevilla to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Oviedo 1–1 Sevilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oviedo34%fair 2.90 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Sevilla40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
2.47Expected goals
1.18Oviedo xG
1.30Sevilla xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Oviedo 1.2 – 1.3 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla to win✗
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.16
–
Form
Oviedo – last 4
DLDL
9 Mar
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Real Sociedad
3–3
D
15 Feb
vs Athletic Club
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Sevilla – last 4
LDDW
15 Mar
@ Barcelona
2–5
L
8 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Real Betis
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Getafe
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oviedo and Sevilla.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Oviedo vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Oviedo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sevilla 40%.
How many goals will there be in Oviedo vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Sevilla?
Our predicted score is Oviedo 1–1 Sevilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Oviedo vs Sevilla?
Oviedo vs Sevilla (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
