The La Liga sees Villarreal take on Elche on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Estadio de la Ceramica. Villarreal are 8th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Elche sit 18th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Elche's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Espanyol 2–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Villarreal and 0.8 for Elche. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villarreal 68%, draw 18%, Elche 14%.
Safer route: Villarreal or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Villarreal to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Villarreal 2–0 Elche. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villarreal68%fair 1.46 · @1.49
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @4.35
Elche14%fair 7.38 · @5.80
3.01Expected goals
2.17Villarreal xG
0.84Elche xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Villarreal 2.2 – 0.8 Elche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win✓
68%
1.46
1.49
Double chance
Villarreal or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
Villarreal ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.59
–
Form
Villarreal – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Valencia
2–1
W
18 Feb
@ Levante
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Elche – last 3
DLD
1 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–2
D
20 Feb
@ Athletic Club
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Osasuna
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal and Elche.
Our pick is Villarreal to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
On our numbers Villarreal have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Elche 14%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Elche?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Elche?
Our predicted score is Villarreal 2–0 Elche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Villarreal vs Elche?
Villarreal vs Elche (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
