Sevilla host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Sevilla are 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Rayo Vallecano sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Rayo Vallecano's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Oviedo 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Sevilla and 1.2 for Rayo Vallecano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sevilla 1–1 Rayo Vallecano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sevilla41%fair 2.44 · @2.42
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Rayo Vallecano35%fair 2.89 · @2.96
2.48Expected goals
1.31Sevilla xG
1.17Rayo Vallecano xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sevilla 1.3 – 1.2 Rayo Vallecano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla to win✗
41%
2.44
2.42
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.12
–
Form
Sevilla – last 2
DW
1 Mar
@ Real Betis
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Getafe
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano – last 3
WDW
4 Mar
vs Oviedo
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Real Betis
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Atletico Madrid
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano.
What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rayo Vallecano 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our predicted score is Sevilla 1–1 Rayo Vallecano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
