Value bet: Osasuna to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultValencia to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.14
Valencia vs Osasuna preview and prediction
The match
The La Liga sees Valencia take on Osasuna on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT) at Estadio de Mestalla. Valencia are 19th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Osasuna sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Valencia and 1.2 for Osasuna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valencia 39%, draw 25%, Osasuna 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Osasuna to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Valencia 1–1 Osasuna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valencia39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
Osasuna36%fair 2.77 · @3.20
2.44Expected goals
1.25Valencia xG
1.19Osasuna xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Valencia 1.3 – 1.2 Osasuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valencia to win✓
39%
2.55
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valencia / FT Valencia✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.14
–
Form
Valencia – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Villarreal
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Levante
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Osasuna – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Elche
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valencia and Osasuna.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Valencia vs Osasuna?
On our numbers Valencia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Osasuna 36%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia vs Osasuna?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Osasuna?
Our predicted score is Valencia 1–1 Osasuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Valencia vs Osasuna?
Valencia vs Osasuna (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mestalla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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