Girona host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Form guide
Celta Vigo's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat PAOK 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Girona and 1.2 for Celta Vigo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Girona 43%, draw 22%, Celta Vigo 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Girona 1–1 Celta Vigo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Girona43%fair 2.31 · @2.32
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Celta Vigo35%fair 2.87 · @2.98
2.59Expected goals
1.38Girona xG
1.20Celta Vigo xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Girona 1.4 – 1.2 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Girona to win
43%
2.31
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Girona / FT Girona
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
9.60
–
Form
Girona – last 2
DW
23 Feb
@ Alaves
2–2
D
16 Feb
vs Barcelona
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Celta Vigo – last 3
WWW
26 Feb
vs PAOK
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Mallorca
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ PAOK
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Girona and Celta Vigo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Girona vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Girona have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Celta Vigo 35%.
How many goals will there be in Girona vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Girona vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Girona 1–1 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Girona vs Celta Vigo?
Girona vs Celta Vigo (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
