Value bet: Espanyol to win @ 3.05 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultElche to win ✗38% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Elche vs Espanyol preview and prediction
The match
Elche host Espanyol in the La Liga on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. Elche are 18th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Espanyol sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Elche and 1.3 for Espanyol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elche 38%, draw 24%, Espanyol 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Espanyol to win at 3.05 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Elche 1–1 Espanyol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elche38%fair 2.60 · @2.34
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Espanyol37%fair 2.68 · @3.05
2.68Expected goals
1.35Elche xG
1.33Espanyol xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Elche 1.3 – 1.3 Espanyol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elche to win✗
38%
2.60
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elche / FT Elche✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.76
–
Form
Elche – last 2
LD
20 Feb
@ Athletic Club
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Osasuna
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Espanyol
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elche and Espanyol.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Elche vs Espanyol?
On our numbers Elche have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Espanyol 37%.
How many goals will there be in Elche vs Espanyol?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elche vs Espanyol?
Our predicted score is Elche 1–1 Espanyol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Elche vs Espanyol?
Elche vs Espanyol (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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