Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Dynamo Dresden or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDynamo Dresden to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceDynamo Dresden or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.05
Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel preview and prediction
The match
Dynamo Dresden host Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion. Dynamo Dresden are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Holstein Kiel sit 18th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dynamo Dresden's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Eintracht Braunschweig 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Holstein Kiel's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to 1. FC Magdeburg 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Dynamo Dresden and 1.0 for Holstein Kiel. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dynamo Dresden 60%, draw 22%, Holstein Kiel 18%.
Safer route: Dynamo Dresden or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dynamo Dresden or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dynamo Dresden60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.95
Holstein Kiel18%fair 5.52 · @4.33
3.05Expected goals
2.02Dynamo Dresden xG
1.03Holstein Kiel xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Dynamo Dresden 2.0 – 1.0 Holstein Kiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo Dresden to win✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Double chance
Dynamo Dresden or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.60
Half-time result
Dynamo Dresden ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo Dresden / FT Dynamo Dresden✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.05
–
Form
Dynamo Dresden – last 6
LWLWDW
9 May
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
1–2
L
2 May
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Preußen Münster
6–0
W
8 Mar
@ Karlsruher SC
3–3
D
27 Feb
vs SV Darmstadt 98
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Holstein Kiel – last 6
LWWWDW
9 May
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
1–3
L
2 May
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
W
10 Apr
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Preußen Münster
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ VfL Bochum
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel.
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
Our pick is Dynamo Dresden or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
On our numbers Dynamo Dresden have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Holstein Kiel 18%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
Our predicted score is Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?
Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.