Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Arminia Bielefeld to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArminia Bielefeld to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees Arminia Bielefeld take on Hertha BSC on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at SchücoArena. Arminia Bielefeld are 6th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Hertha BSC sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arminia Bielefeld's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Hertha BSC's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Hertha BSC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.1 for Hertha BSC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 66%.
Our pre-match pick was Arminia Bielefeld to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 Hertha BSC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arminia Bielefeld60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.00
Hertha BSC20%fair 4.93 · @4.20
3.11Expected goals
2.03Arminia Bielefeld xG
1.08Hertha BSC xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Arminia Bielefeld 2.0 – 1.1 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arminia Bielefeld to win✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.83
Half-time result
Arminia Bielefeld ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arminia Bielefeld / FT Arminia Bielefeld✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Arminia Bielefeld – last 6
LDLWLL
8 May
@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–2
L
2 May
vs VfL Bochum
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ Karlsruher SC
1–4
L
4 Apr
vs SV Darmstadt 98
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ FC Schalke 04
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Hannover 96
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hertha BSC – last 6
WLDWWW
10 May
vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2–1
W
3 May
@ 1. FC Magdeburg
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
5–2
W
8 Mar
@ Preußen Münster
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arminia Bielefeld and Hertha BSC.
What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?
Our pick is Arminia Bielefeld to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?
On our numbers Arminia Bielefeld have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hertha BSC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?
Our predicted score is Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?
Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at SchücoArena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.