1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
1. FC Magdeburg or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: 1. FC Magdeburg to win @ 1.68 – our chance 68% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Result1. FC Magdeburg to win ✗68% · @1.68
Double chance1. FC Magdeburg or draw ✗88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.63
1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees 1. FC Magdeburg take on 1. FC Kaiserslautern on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Avnet Arena. 1. FC Magdeburg are 4th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top four), while 1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
1. FC Magdeburg's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Holstein Kiel 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
1. FC Kaiserslautern's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Arminia Bielefeld 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
1. FC Magdeburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 0.9 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 1. FC Magdeburg 68%, draw 21%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 12%.
Safer route: 1. FC Magdeburg or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.42.
Value angle: 1. FC Magdeburg to win at 1.68 – 68% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was 1. FC Magdeburg or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
1. FC Magdeburg68%fair 1.48 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.20
1. FC Kaiserslautern12%fair 8.66 · @4.20
3.29Expected goals
2.361. FC Magdeburg xG
0.931. FC Kaiserslautern xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: 1. FC Magdeburg 2.4 – 0.9 1. FC Kaiserslautern expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Magdeburg to win✗
68%
1.48
1.68 ▲
Double chance
1. FC Magdeburg or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.77
Half-time result
1. FC Magdeburg ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Magdeburg / FT 1. FC Magdeburg✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.63
–
Form
1. FC Magdeburg – last 6
WWLLWW
9 May
@ Holstein Kiel
3–1
W
3 May
vs Hertha BSC
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ SC Paderborn 07
3–4
L
4 Apr
vs VfL Bochum
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Preußen Münster
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
1. FC Kaiserslautern – last 6
WLLLWW
8 May
vs Arminia Bielefeld
2–0
W
2 May
@ Dynamo Dresden
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
0–2
L
17 Apr
@ Holstein Kiel
0–3
L
4 Apr
vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Karlsruher SC
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Magdeburg and 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Our pick is 1. FC Magdeburg or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
On our numbers 1. FC Magdeburg have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and 1. FC Kaiserslautern 12%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Avnet Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.