Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonaco to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.91
Monaco vs Marseille preview and prediction
The match
Marseille travel to Stade Louis II in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 5 April (19:45 WAT) to face Monaco. Monaco are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Marseille sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Monaco's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Lyon 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Marseille's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Lille 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Monaco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.8 for Monaco and 1.4 for Marseille. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monaco 47%, draw 20%, Marseille 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Monaco 1–1 Marseille. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monaco47%fair 2.12 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
Marseille33%fair 3.08 · @3.10
3.16Expected goals
1.75Monaco xG
1.41Marseille xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Monaco 1.8 – 1.4 Marseille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monaco to win✓
47%
2.12
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monaco / FT Monaco✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.91
–
Form
Monaco – last 6
WWDWLW
22 Mar
@ Lyon
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Paris Saint Germain
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ Paris Saint Germain
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Lens
3–2
W
17 Feb
vs Paris Saint Germain
2–3
L
13 Feb
vs Nantes
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Marseille – last 3
LWL
22 Mar
vs Lille
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Auxerre
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Stade Brestois 29
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monaco and Marseille.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Monaco vs Marseille?
On our numbers Monaco have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Marseille 33%.
How many goals will there be in Monaco vs Marseille?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Marseille?
Our predicted score is Monaco 1–1 Marseille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Monaco vs Marseille?
Monaco vs Marseille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metz0
Nantes0