Metz host Nantes in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 16:15 (WAT) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Form guide
Metz's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Rennes 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nantes's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Lille 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Nantes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Metz and 1.4 for Nantes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metz 36%, draw 24%, Nantes 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Metz 1–1 Nantes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metz36%fair 2.80 · @2.82
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
Nantes40%fair 2.50 · @2.46
2.70Expected goals
1.30Metz xG
1.39Nantes xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Metz 1.3 – 1.4 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✗
40%
2.50
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Form
Metz – last 5
DLLLL
22 Mar
@ Rennes
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Toulouse
3–4
L
8 Mar
@ Lens
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Stade Brestois 29
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Auxerre
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 3
LWL
1 Mar
@ Lille
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Le Havre
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Monaco
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and Nantes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Metz vs Nantes?
On our numbers Metz have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nantes 40%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Nantes?
Metz vs Nantes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Angers0
Lyon0
Le Havre1
Auxerre1
Lorient1
Paris FC1
Monaco2
Marseille1