Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Lille to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRennes to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Rennes vs Lille preview and prediction
The match
Rennes host Lille in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Roazhon Park. Rennes are 8th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Lille sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Rennes's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Nice 4–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lille's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Aston Villa 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rennes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Rennes and 1.4 for Lille. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rennes 43%, draw 22%, Lille 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Lille to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Rennes 1–1 Lille. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rennes43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Lille34%fair 2.90 · @3.20
2.94Expected goals
1.57Rennes xG
1.37Lille xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Rennes 1.6 – 1.4 Lille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rennes to win✗
43%
2.32
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rennes / FT Rennes✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.22
–
Form
Rennes – last 3
WWW
8 Mar
@ Nice
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Auxerre
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lille – last 6
LDWWWL
12 Mar
vs Aston Villa
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Lorient
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Nantes
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ FK Crvena Zvezda
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Angers
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rennes and Lille.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Rennes vs Lille?
On our numbers Rennes have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lille 34%.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Lille?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Lille?
Our predicted score is Rennes 1–1 Lille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rennes vs Lille?
Rennes vs Lille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Roazhon Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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