Value bet: Le Havre to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLyon to win ✗49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.80
Le Havre vs Lyon preview and prediction
The match
Le Havre host Lyon in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Stade Océane. Le Havre are 18th with 2 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Lyon sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Le Havre's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Stade Brestois 29 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Lyon's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Celta Vigo 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Le Havre and 1.4 for Lyon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Le Havre 30%, draw 22%, Lyon 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Le Havre to win at 3.60 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Le Havre 1–1 Lyon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Le Havre30%fair 3.38 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.25
Lyon49%fair 2.06 · @2.00
2.38Expected goals
0.99Le Havre xG
1.39Lyon xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Le Havre 1.0 – 1.4 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✗
49%
2.06
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.80
–
Form
Le Havre – last 3
LLW
8 Mar
@ Stade Brestois 29
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Nantes
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Toulouse
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 3
DLW
12 Mar
@ Celta Vigo
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Strasbourg
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Nice
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Havre and Lyon.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Le Havre vs Lyon?
On our numbers Le Havre have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lyon 49%.
How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Le Havre 1–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Le Havre vs Lyon?
Le Havre vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Océane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metz3