Paris FC travel to Parc Olympique Lyonnais in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 March (20:45 WAT) to face Lyon. Lyon are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Paris FC sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Lyon and 0.9 for Paris FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lyon 60%, draw 20%, Paris FC 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lyon 1–1 Paris FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lyon60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.80
Paris FC20%fair 4.97 · @4.60
2.78Expected goals
1.84Lyon xG
0.94Paris FC xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.8 – 0.9 Paris FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win
60%
1.67
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Lyon ahead at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
8.72
–
Form
Lyon – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Strasbourg
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Nice
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paris FC – last 1
W
1 Mar
vs Nice
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Paris FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lyon vs Paris FC?
On our numbers Lyon have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paris FC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Paris FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Paris FC?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–1 Paris FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Paris FC?
Lyon vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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