The Ligue 1 sees Lille take on Lorient on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lille are 2nd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Lorient sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lille's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Nantes 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lorient's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Auxerre 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Lille arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Lille and 0.9 for Lorient. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lille 64%, draw 21%, Lorient 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Lille 2–0 Lorient. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lille64%fair 1.57 · @1.49
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.10
Lorient15%fair 6.50 · @6.50
2.83Expected goals
1.98Lille xG
0.85Lorient xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Lille 2.0 – 0.9 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✗
64%
1.57
1.49
Double chance
Lille or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Lille ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.57
–
Form
Lille – last 4
WWWL
1 Mar
vs Nantes
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ FK Crvena Zvezda
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Angers
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lorient – last 3
DDW
1 Mar
vs Auxerre
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Nice
3–3
D
15 Feb
vs Angers
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Lorient.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Lille vs Lorient?
On our numbers Lille have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lorient 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Lorient?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Lorient?
Our predicted score is Lille 2–0 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Lorient?
Lille vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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