The League One sees Plymouth take on Cardiff on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Home Park.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Plymouth and 1.6 for Cardiff. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Plymouth 30%, draw 20%, Cardiff 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.63.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Plymouth 1–1 Cardiff. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Plymouth30%fair 3.29 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.60
Cardiff49%fair 2.03 · @2.15
2.85Expected goals
1.21Plymouth xG
1.64Cardiff xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–19%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Plymouth 1.2 – 1.6 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✗
49%
2.03
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.63
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.37
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✗
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Form
Plymouth – last 1
W
17 Feb
@ Leyton Orient
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cardiff – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs AFC Wimbledon
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and Cardiff.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Plymouth vs Cardiff?
On our numbers Plymouth have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cardiff 49%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Cardiff?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Cardiff?
Our predicted score is Plymouth 1–1 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Plymouth vs Cardiff?
Plymouth vs Cardiff (League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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