Blackpool travel to Toughsheet Community Stadium in the League One on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT) to face Bolton.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Bolton and 0.6 for Blackpool. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bolton 69%, draw 21%, Blackpool 10%.
Safer route: Bolton or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.78.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bolton to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bolton 2–0 Blackpool. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bolton69%fair 1.45 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.20
Blackpool10%fair 10.22 · @5.25
2.68Expected goals
2.03Bolton xG
0.65Blackpool xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bolton 2.0 – 0.6 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bolton to win✗
69%
1.45
1.53 ▲
Double chance
Bolton or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.78
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.42
Half-time result
Bolton ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolton / FT Bolton✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.06
–
Form
Bolton – last 1
D
17 Feb
@ Reading
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Blackpool – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Mansfield Town
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolton and Blackpool.
Our pick is Bolton to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Bolton vs Blackpool?
On our numbers Bolton have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Blackpool 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bolton vs Blackpool?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Blackpool?
Our predicted score is Bolton 2–0 Blackpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bolton vs Blackpool?
Bolton vs Blackpool (League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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