Value bet: Northampton to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorthampton to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.68
Northampton vs Leyton Orient preview and prediction
The match
Leyton Orient travel to Sixfields Stadium in the League One on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT) to face Northampton.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Northampton and 1.2 for Leyton Orient. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Northampton to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Northampton 1–1 Leyton Orient. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Northampton41%fair 2.44 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.30
Leyton Orient35%fair 2.85 · @2.35
2.57Expected goals
1.35Northampton xG
1.22Leyton Orient xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Northampton 1.3 – 1.2 Leyton Orient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✗
41%
2.44
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.26
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northampton / FT Northampton✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.68
–
Form
Northampton – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Lincoln
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leyton Orient – last 1
L
17 Feb
vs Plymouth
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Leyton Orient.
What is the prediction for Northampton vs Leyton Orient?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Northampton vs Leyton Orient?
On our numbers Northampton have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leyton Orient 35%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Leyton Orient?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Leyton Orient?
Our predicted score is Northampton 1–1 Leyton Orient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Northampton vs Leyton Orient?
Northampton vs Leyton Orient (League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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