The League One sees Cardiff take on AFC Wimbledon on Tuesday 17 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Cardiff and 0.9 for AFC Wimbledon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cardiff 64%, draw 19%, AFC Wimbledon 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cardiff 2–0 AFC Wimbledon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cardiff64%fair 1.57 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.60
AFC Wimbledon17%fair 5.98 · @7.20
2.79Expected goals
1.94Cardiff xG
0.85AFC Wimbledon xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Cardiff 1.9 – 0.9 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✓
64%
1.57
1.40
Double chance
Cardiff or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.44
Half-time result
Cardiff ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Cardiff
No recent results on record.
AFC Wimbledon
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and AFC Wimbledon.
What is the prediction for Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon?
On our numbers Cardiff have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and AFC Wimbledon 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our predicted score is Cardiff 2–0 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon?
Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rotherham0
Exeter City1
Lincoln4
Northampton0
Port Vale1