Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLincoln to win ✓71% · @1.36
Double chanceLincoln or draw ✓92% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Lincoln vs Northampton preview and prediction
The match
Lincoln host Northampton in the League One on Tuesday 17 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at LNER stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Lincoln and 0.6 for Northampton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lincoln 71%, draw 22%, Northampton 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lincoln 2–0 Northampton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lincoln71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @4.50
Northampton8%fair 12.90 · @8.80
2.59Expected goals
2.03Lincoln xG
0.56Northampton xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lincoln 2.0 – 0.6 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lincoln to win✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Double chance
Lincoln or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.36
Half-time result
Lincoln ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lincoln / FT Lincoln✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Form
Lincoln
No recent results on record.
Northampton
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Northampton.
What is the prediction for Lincoln vs Northampton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lincoln vs Northampton?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Northampton 8%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Northampton?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Northampton?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 2–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Northampton?
Lincoln vs Northampton (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at LNER stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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