Value bet: Rotherham to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurton Albion to win ✓42% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Burton Albion vs Rotherham preview and prediction
The match
Burton Albion host Rotherham in the League One on Tuesday 17 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Pirelli Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Burton Albion and 1.2 for Rotherham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Rotherham to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Burton Albion 1–1 Rotherham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burton Albion42%fair 2.40 · @2.14
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Rotherham34%fair 2.92 · @3.40
2.57Expected goals
1.37Burton Albion xG
1.21Rotherham xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.4 – 1.2 Rotherham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burton Albion to win✓
42%
2.40
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burton Albion / FT Burton Albion✓
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.64
–
Form
Burton Albion – last 1
D
14 Feb
vs West Ham
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Rotherham
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burton Albion and Rotherham.
What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Rotherham?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Rotherham?
On our numbers Burton Albion have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rotherham 34%.
How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Rotherham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Rotherham?
Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–1 Rotherham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Burton Albion vs Rotherham?
Burton Albion vs Rotherham (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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