Birmingham host Preston in the Championship on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park. Birmingham are 1st with 29 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Preston sit 24th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Birmingham's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Wrexham 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Preston's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with QPR 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Birmingham and 0.8 for Preston. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Birmingham 1–0 Preston. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham62%fair 1.62 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.75
Preston18%fair 5.71 · @5.10
2.54Expected goals
1.76Birmingham xG
0.78Preston xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Birmingham 1.8 – 0.8 Preston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham to win✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Double chance
Birmingham or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Half-time result
Birmingham ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birmingham / FT Birmingham✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.49
–
Form
Birmingham – last 6
WLLWLL
12 Apr
vs Wrexham
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Ipswich
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Blackburn
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs QPR
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Middlesbrough
1–3
L
25 Feb
@ Millwall
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Preston – last 6
DDWLLD
6 Apr
vs QPR
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Leicester
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Stoke City
3–1
W
11 Mar
@ Coventry
0–3
L
6 Mar
vs Oxford United
1–3
L
24 Feb
@ Swansea
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham and Preston.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Birmingham vs Preston?
On our numbers Birmingham have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Preston 18%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham vs Preston?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Preston?
Our predicted score is Birmingham 1–0 Preston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Birmingham vs Preston?
Birmingham vs Preston (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Ipswich2