Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓70% · @1.16
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday preview and prediction
The match
Sheffield Wednesday travel to Riverside Stadium in the Championship on Wednesday 22 April (19:45 WAT) to face Middlesbrough.
Form guide
Middlesbrough's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Ipswich 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Sheffield Wednesday's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Leicester 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Middlesbrough arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Middlesbrough and 0.8 for Sheffield Wednesday. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 1.93 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Middlesbrough 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Middlesbrough70%fair 1.42 · @1.16
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @7.20
Sheffield Wednesday12%fair 8.03 · @14.00
3.10Expected goals
2.27Middlesbrough xG
0.83Sheffield Wednesday xG
51%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Middlesbrough 2.3 – 0.8 Sheffield Wednesday expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✓
70%
1.42
1.16
Double chance
Middlesbrough or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.93 ▲
Half-time result
Middlesbrough ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Form
Middlesbrough – last 6
DDLLWW
19 Apr
@ Ipswich
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Swansea
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Millwall
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Charlton
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ QPR
4–0
W
2 Mar
@ Birmingham
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sheffield Wednesday – last 5
DLDLL
6 Apr
vs Leicester
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Stoke City
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Watford
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Norwich
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday.
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sheffield Wednesday 12%.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ipswich2