Value bet: Ipswich to win @ 1.69 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIpswich to win ✓65% · @1.69
Double chanceIpswich or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.73
Charlton vs Ipswich preview and prediction
The match
Charlton host Ipswich in the Championship on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Valley.
Form guide
Charlton's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Bristol City 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Ipswich's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Middlesbrough 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ipswich arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Charlton and 1.9 for Ipswich. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlton 11%, draw 24%, Ipswich 65%.
Safer route: Ipswich or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Ipswich to win at 1.69 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Charlton 0–1 Ipswich. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlton11%fair 9.12 · @4.90
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
Ipswich65%fair 1.54 · @1.69
2.54Expected goals
0.66Charlton xG
1.88Ipswich xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%
From our goals model: Charlton 0.7 – 1.9 Ipswich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ipswich to win✓
65%
1.54
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Ipswich or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Ipswich ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ipswich / FT Ipswich✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.73
–
Form
Charlton – last 5
LWDDL
3 Apr
vs Bristol City
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Middlesbrough
1–0
W
24 Feb
@ West Brom
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Southampton
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Ipswich – last 6
DLWDWW
19 Apr
vs Middlesbrough
2–2
D
14 Apr
@ Portsmouth
0–2
L
6 Apr
vs Birmingham
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Stoke City
3–3
D
3 Mar
vs Hull City
1–0
W
24 Feb
@ Watford
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlton and Ipswich.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Charlton vs Ipswich?
On our numbers Charlton have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ipswich 65%.
How many goals will there be in Charlton vs Ipswich?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Ipswich?
Our predicted score is Charlton 0–1 Ipswich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Charlton vs Ipswich?
Charlton vs Ipswich (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Valley.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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