Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗66% · @1.39
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✗88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.92
Middlesbrough vs Charlton preview and prediction
The match
Charlton travel to Riverside Stadium in the Championship on Wednesday 11 March (20:45 WAT) to face Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough are 2nd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Charlton sit 19th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Middlesbrough's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat QPR 4–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Charlton's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with West Brom 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Middlesbrough arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Middlesbrough and 0.7 for Charlton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Middlesbrough 2–0 Charlton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Middlesbrough66%fair 1.50 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.45
Charlton12%fair 8.38 · @7.90
2.58Expected goals
1.91Middlesbrough xG
0.67Charlton xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Middlesbrough 1.9 – 0.7 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✗
66%
1.50
1.39
Double chance
Middlesbrough or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Half-time result
Middlesbrough ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.92
–
Form
Middlesbrough – last 5
WWDDL
8 Mar
@ QPR
4–0
W
2 Mar
@ Birmingham
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Leicester
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Oxford United
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Coventry
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Charlton – last 3
DDL
24 Feb
@ West Brom
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Southampton
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough and Charlton.
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Charlton 12%.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 2–0 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
Middlesbrough vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oxford United1
Coventry3