Value bet: Southampton to win @ 2.48 – our chance 48% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouthampton to win ✗48% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.46
West Brom vs Southampton preview and prediction
The match
West Brom host Southampton in the Championship on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Hawthorns. West Brom are 5th with 28 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Southampton sit 7th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Southampton's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Fulham 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for West Brom and 1.5 for Southampton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: West Brom 30%, draw 22%, Southampton 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Southampton to win at 2.48 – 48% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: West Brom 1–1 Southampton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
West Brom30%fair 3.30 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Southampton48%fair 2.09 · @2.48
2.67Expected goals
1.14West Brom xG
1.52Southampton xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: West Brom 1.1 – 1.5 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southampton to win✗
48%
2.09
2.48 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southampton / FT Southampton✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.46
–
Form
West Brom – last 2
DL
24 Feb
vs Charlton
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Coventry
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Southampton – last 3
WWD
8 Mar
@ Fulham
1–0
W
24 Feb
vs QPR
5–0
W
21 Feb
vs Charlton
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between West Brom and Southampton.
What is the prediction for West Brom vs Southampton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
On our numbers West Brom have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Southampton 48%.
How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Southampton?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Southampton?
Our predicted score is West Brom 1–1 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is West Brom vs Southampton?
West Brom vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oxford United1
Coventry3