Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDerby to win71% · @1.29
Double chanceDerby or draw92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.06
Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday preview and prediction
The match
Sheffield Wednesday travel to Pride Park in the Championship on Saturday 7 March (16:00 WAT) to face Derby.
Form guide
Derby's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Blackburn 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.2 for Derby and 0.6 for Sheffield Wednesday. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Derby 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derby71%fair 1.40 · @1.29
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @5.00
Sheffield Wednesday8%fair 12.83 · @10.25
2.82Expected goals
2.19Derby xG
0.64Sheffield Wednesday xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Derby 2.2 – 0.6 Sheffield Wednesday expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derby to win
71%
1.40
1.29
Double chance
Derby or draw
92%
1.08
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.45
Half-time result
Derby ahead at half-time
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derby / FT Derby
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.06
–
Form
Derby – last 3
WLL
28 Feb
vs Blackburn
3–1
W
24 Feb
@ Hull City
2–4
L
21 Feb
@ Watford
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sheffield Wednesday – last 2
LL
25 Feb
@ Norwich
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derby and Sheffield Wednesday.
What is the prediction for Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday?
On our numbers Derby have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sheffield Wednesday 8%.
How many goals will there be in Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Our predicted score is Derby 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pride Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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