The League Two sees Chesterfield take on Grimsby on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at SMH Group Stadium. Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Grimsby sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chesterfield's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Barrow 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grimsby's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Crawley Town 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Chesterfield and 1.3 for Grimsby. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Chesterfield 1–1 Grimsby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesterfield39%fair 2.56 · @2.54
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
Grimsby37%fair 2.69 · @2.65
2.70Expected goals
1.37Chesterfield xG
1.33Grimsby xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.4 – 1.3 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
39%
2.56
2.54
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Chesterfield – last 6
WWLWDW
6 Apr
@ Barrow
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Cheltenham
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Oldham
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Colchester
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Crawley Town
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Gillingham
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 6
WLWDWL
6 Apr
@ Crawley Town
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Harrogate Town
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Bromley
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Salford City
3–1
W
21 Feb
@ Bristol Rovers
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Grimsby.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Grimsby?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grimsby 37%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Grimsby?
Chesterfield vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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