Value bet: Barrow to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOldham to win ✗46% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.47
Barrow vs Oldham preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Barrow take on Oldham on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Holker Street.
Form guide
Barrow's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Chesterfield 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Oldham's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oldham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Barrow and 1.4 for Oldham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barrow 33%, draw 22%, Oldham 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Barrow to win at 3.45 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Barrow 1–1 Oldham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barrow33%fair 3.07 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Oldham46%fair 2.20 · @2.08
2.44Expected goals
1.09Barrow xG
1.36Oldham xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.1 – 1.4 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oldham to win✗
46%
2.20
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oldham / FT Oldham✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.47
–
Form
Barrow – last 6
LDLLDL
6 Apr
vs Chesterfield
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Salford City
1–3
L
10 Mar
vs Bristol Rovers
0–2
L
6 Mar
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Fleetwood Town
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Oldham – last 6
DWWWDW
6 Apr
vs Milton Keynes Dons
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Colchester
3–1
W
24 Mar
vs Notts County
3–0
W
17 Mar
@ Chesterfield
3–0
W
3 Mar
@ Bromley
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Gillingham
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Oldham.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Barrow vs Oldham?
On our numbers Barrow have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oldham 46%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Oldham?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Oldham?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–1 Oldham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Oldham?
Barrow vs Oldham (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
