Value bet: Colchester to win @ 1.65 – our chance 64% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultColchester to win ✓64% · @1.65
Double chanceColchester or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Colchester vs Accrington ST preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Colchester take on Accrington ST on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Colchester Community Stadium. Colchester are 23rd with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Accrington ST sit 9th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Colchester's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Swindon Town 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Accrington ST's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Gillingham 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Colchester and 0.7 for Accrington ST. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colchester 64%, draw 19%, Accrington ST 17%.
Safer route: Colchester or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Colchester to win at 1.65 – 64% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Colchester 1–0 Accrington ST. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colchester64%fair 1.56 · @1.65
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.70
Accrington ST17%fair 5.93 · @5.10
2.45Expected goals
1.74Colchester xG
0.71Accrington ST xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.7 – 0.7 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win✓
64%
1.56
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Colchester or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Half-time result
Colchester ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colchester / FT Colchester✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.66
–
Form
Colchester – last 6
WWLLDL
10 Apr
vs Swindon Town
3–0
W
6 Apr
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Oldham
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Crawley Town
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Chesterfield
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 6
LWLLLW
6 Apr
@ Gillingham
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Crewe
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Notts County
0–4
L
24 Feb
vs Barnet
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Shrewsbury
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Accrington ST.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Colchester vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Colchester have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Accrington ST 17%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–0 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Accrington ST?
Colchester vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Colchester Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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