Crawley Town vs Swindon Town prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Swindon Town to win @ 2.18 – our chance 49% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwindon Town to win49% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.68
Crawley Town vs Swindon Town preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Crawley Town take on Swindon Town on Saturday 7 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at The Broadfield Stadium. Crawley Town are 24th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Swindon Town sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Swindon Town's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Bristol Rovers 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Crawley Town and 1.6 for Swindon Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crawley Town 30%, draw 21%, Swindon Town 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Swindon Town to win at 2.18 – 49% on our numbers against 46% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Crawley Town 1–1 Swindon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crawley Town30%fair 3.31 · @3.05
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Swindon Town49%fair 2.04 · @2.18
2.77Expected goals
1.18Crawley Town xG
1.60Swindon Town xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.2 – 1.6 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swindon Town to win
49%
2.04
2.18 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swindon Town / FT Swindon Town
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.68
–
Form
Crawley Town – last 2
DD
21 Feb
vs Chesterfield
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Swindon Town – last 3
DLW
28 Feb
vs Bristol Rovers
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Crewe
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Barnet
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crawley Town and Swindon Town.
What is the prediction for Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Crawley Town have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Swindon Town 49%.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
Our predicted score is Crawley Town 1–1 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
Crawley Town vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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