Value bet: Chesterfield to win @ 1.76 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultChesterfield to win61% · @1.76
Double chanceChesterfield or draw85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.56
Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury preview and prediction
The match
Shrewsbury travel to SMH Group Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 7 March (16:00 WAT) to face Chesterfield. Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Shrewsbury sit 15th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chesterfield's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Colchester 3–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shrewsbury's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Walsall 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Chesterfield and 0.8 for Shrewsbury. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Chesterfield to win at 1.76 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Chesterfield 1–0 Shrewsbury. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesterfield61%fair 1.65 · @1.76
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.55
Shrewsbury15%fair 6.59 · @4.60
2.62Expected goals
1.82Chesterfield xG
0.80Shrewsbury xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.8 – 0.8 Shrewsbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win
61%
1.65
1.76 ▲
Double chance
Chesterfield or draw
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Chesterfield ahead at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.56
–
Form
Chesterfield – last 3
WDW
3 Mar
vs Colchester
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Crawley Town
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Gillingham
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shrewsbury – last 4
LWWW
28 Feb
vs Walsall
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Salford City
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Accrington ST
2–0
W
17 Feb
vs Notts County
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Shrewsbury.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shrewsbury 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–0 Shrewsbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?
Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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