Value bet: Crewe to win @ 3.15 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCrewe to win39% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.95
Bristol Rovers vs Crewe preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Bristol Rovers take on Crewe on Saturday 7 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Memorial Stadium. Bristol Rovers are 17th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Crewe sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Bristol Rovers's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Swindon Town 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Bristol Rovers and 1.4 for Crewe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Crewe to win at 3.15 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Bristol Rovers 1–1 Crewe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bristol Rovers38%fair 2.66 · @2.18
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Crewe39%fair 2.54 · @3.15
2.68Expected goals
1.32Bristol Rovers xG
1.36Crewe xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 1.3 – 1.4 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win
39%
2.54
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.95
–
Form
Bristol Rovers – last 3
DWL
28 Feb
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Grimsby
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Oldham
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Crewe – last 2
WL
21 Feb
@ Swindon Town
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Crewe.
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Crewe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Crewe?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Crewe 39%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Crewe?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Crewe?
Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 1–1 Crewe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Crewe?
Bristol Rovers vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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