Value bet: Oldham to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGillingham to win ✗42% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.50
Gillingham vs Oldham preview and prediction
The match
Gillingham host Oldham in the League Two on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Priestfield Stadium. Gillingham are 8th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Oldham sit 18th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Gillingham and 1.1 for Oldham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Oldham to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gillingham 1–1 Oldham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gillingham42%fair 2.40 · @2.14
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Oldham34%fair 2.92 · @3.40
2.37Expected goals
1.26Gillingham xG
1.11Oldham xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.3 – 1.1 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gillingham to win✗
42%
2.40
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gillingham / FT Gillingham✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.50
–
Form
Gillingham – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Chesterfield
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Oldham – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Bristol Rovers
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Oldham.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gillingham vs Oldham?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oldham 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Oldham?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Oldham?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–1 Oldham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Oldham?
Gillingham vs Oldham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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