Colchester host Barnet in the League Two on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Colchester Community Stadium. Colchester are 23rd with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Barnet sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Colchester and 1.3 for Barnet. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Colchester 1–1 Barnet. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colchester37%fair 2.70 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
Barnet39%fair 2.56 · @2.50
2.48Expected goals
1.22Colchester xG
1.26Barnet xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.2 – 1.3 Barnet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✗
39%
2.56
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.27
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnet / FT Barnet✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.45
–
Form
Colchester – last 1
D
17 Feb
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Barnet – last 1
L
17 Feb
vs Swindon Town
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Barnet.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Colchester vs Barnet?
On our numbers Colchester have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barnet 39%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Barnet?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Barnet?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Barnet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Barnet?
Colchester vs Barnet (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Colchester Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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