NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
HNK Hajduk Split or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: HNK Hajduk Split to win @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗62% · @1.77
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.62
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split preview and prediction
The match
HNK Hajduk Split travel to Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas in the HNL on Friday 17 April (16:45 WAT) to face NK Slaven Belupo. NK Slaven Belupo are 7th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
NK Slaven Belupo's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to HNK Rijeka 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Hajduk Split's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Istra 1961 3–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Hajduk Split arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for NK Slaven Belupo and 1.9 for HNK Hajduk Split. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: HNK Hajduk Split to win at 1.77 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HNK Hajduk Split or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NK Slaven Belupo 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Slaven Belupo13%fair 7.70 · @4.35
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.40
HNK Hajduk Split62%fair 1.62 · @1.77
2.67Expected goals
0.78NK Slaven Belupo xG
1.89HNK Hajduk Split xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 0.8 – 1.9 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Hajduk Split to win✗
62%
1.62
1.77 ▲
Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
HNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.62
–
Form
NK Slaven Belupo – last 5
LDWDW
8 Apr
@ HNK Rijeka
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs NK Osijek
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Istra 1961
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Vukovar
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
HNK Hajduk Split – last 5
WWLWW
7 Apr
@ Istra 1961
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs HNK Rijeka
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ NK Osijek
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Hajduk Split.
What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HNK Hajduk Split 62%.
How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split (HNL) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
