HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb preview and prediction
The match
HNK Gorica host NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in the HNL on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica. HNK Gorica are 10th with 7 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 9th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
HNK Gorica's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Dinamo Zagreb 3–6 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Vukovar 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
HNK Gorica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for HNK Gorica and 1.2 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Gorica 45%, draw 22%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Gorica45%fair 2.22 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb33%fair 3.02 · @3.05
2.60Expected goals
1.43HNK Gorica xG
1.17NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 1.4 – 1.2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Gorica to win✗
45%
2.22
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Gorica / FT HNK Gorica✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.44
–
Form
HNK Gorica – last 6
LDWWLW
8 Apr
vs Dinamo Zagreb
3–6
L
3 Apr
@ NK Varazdin
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs HNK Rijeka
4–0
W
4 Mar
@ NK Varazdin
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Dinamo Zagreb
2–4
L
21 Feb
@ Istra 1961
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 5
DLLWL
7 Apr
@ Vukovar
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ HNK Hajduk Split
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ HNK Rijeka
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs NK Osijek
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Gorica and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 33%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
