Value bet: NK Varazdin to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✓40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.15
NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin preview and prediction
The match
NK Osijek host NK Varazdin in the HNL on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Opus Arena. NK Osijek are 3rd with 20 points from 13 games (in the top four), while NK Varazdin sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NK Osijek's last 4: DWLL Most recently they drew with NK Slaven Belupo 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NK Varazdin's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with HNK Gorica 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for NK Osijek and 1.3 for NK Varazdin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Osijek 36%, draw 24%, NK Varazdin 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Value angle: NK Varazdin to win at 3.00 – 40% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: NK Osijek 1–1 NK Varazdin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Osijek36%fair 2.78 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.15
NK Varazdin40%fair 2.51 · @3.00
2.45Expected goals
1.18NK Osijek xG
1.26NK Varazdin xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: NK Osijek 1.2 – 1.3 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Varazdin to win✓
40%
2.51
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Varazdin / FT NK Varazdin✓
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.15
–
Form
NK Osijek – last 4
DWLL
22 Mar
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ Istra 1961
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
NK Varazdin – last 5
DLWLL
3 Apr
vs HNK Gorica
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Istra 1961
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Vukovar
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs HNK Gorica
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Osijek and NK Varazdin.
What is the prediction for NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers NK Osijek have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NK Varazdin 40%.
How many goals will there be in NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is NK Osijek 1–1 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Opus Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
