Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.79
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Heart Of Midlothian take on Falkirk on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Tynecastle Park. Heart Of Midlothian are 4th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Falkirk sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Heart Of Midlothian and 0.8 for Falkirk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heart Of Midlothian 63%, draw 19%, Falkirk 18%.
Safer route: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.88.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 Falkirk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heart Of Midlothian63%fair 1.58 · @1.63
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.00
Falkirk18%fair 5.58 · @4.80
2.66Expected goals
1.84Heart Of Midlothian xG
0.82Falkirk xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 1.8 – 0.8 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heart Of Midlothian to win✓
63%
1.58
1.63
Double chance
Heart Of Midlothian or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.88 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Heart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.79
–
Form
Heart Of Midlothian – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Rangers
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Falkirk
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heart Of Midlothian and Falkirk.
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Falkirk 18%.
How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
