Value bet: Kilmarnock to win @ 3.50 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundee Utd to win ✗41% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Dundee Utd take on Kilmarnock on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Tannadice Park. Dundee Utd are 6th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Kilmarnock sit 12th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Dundee Utd and 1.4 for Kilmarnock. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Kilmarnock to win at 3.50 – 37% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Dundee Utd 1–1 Kilmarnock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundee Utd41%fair 2.47 · @1.98
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
Kilmarnock37%fair 2.70 · @3.50
2.94Expected goals
1.51Dundee Utd xG
1.43Kilmarnock xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dundee Utd 1.5 – 1.4 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundee Utd to win✗
41%
2.47
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundee Utd / FT Dundee Utd✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Form
Dundee Utd – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Spartans
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kilmarnock – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Celtic
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundee Utd and Kilmarnock.
What is the prediction for Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers Dundee Utd have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kilmarnock 37%.
How many goals will there be in Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
Our predicted score is Dundee Utd 1–1 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tannadice Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
