Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVVV Venlo to win ✗41% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk preview and prediction
The match
VVV Venlo host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Seacon - De Koel. VVV Venlo are 2nd with 0 points from 0 games (in the top four), while Waalwijk sit 12th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Waalwijk's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat FC Eindhoven 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for VVV Venlo and 1.5 for Waalwijk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 63%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: VVV Venlo 1–1 Waalwijk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VVV Venlo41%fair 2.43 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.70
Waalwijk37%fair 2.73 · @2.65
3.07Expected goals
1.59VVV Venlo xG
1.48Waalwijk xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: VVV Venlo 1.6 – 1.5 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VVV Venlo to win✗
41%
2.43
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Form
VVV Venlo – last 2
LD
27 Feb
@ ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 3
WDL
27 Feb
vs FC Eindhoven
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Roda
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VVV Venlo and Waalwijk.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers VVV Venlo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Waalwijk 37%.
How many goals will there be in VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is VVV Venlo 1–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk?
VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Seacon - De Koel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
