The Eerste Divisie sees Roda take on Jong PSV U21 on Friday 6 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. Roda are 14th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Jong PSV U21 sit 17th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong PSV U21's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Dordrecht 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.6 for Roda and 1.0 for Jong PSV U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Roda 70%, draw 20%, Jong PSV U21 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Roda to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Roda 2–0 Jong PSV U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roda70%fair 1.43 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.80
Jong PSV U2110%fair 9.74 · @6.00
3.60Expected goals
2.60Roda xG
0.99Jong PSV U21 xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Roda 2.6 – 1.0 Jong PSV U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
70%
1.43
1.44
Double chance
Roda or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Half-time result
Roda ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
Roda – last 2
DW
27 Feb
@ Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Waalwijk
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Jong PSV U21 – last 3
DWL
27 Feb
vs Dordrecht
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Emmen
3–2
W
13 Feb
vs De Graafschap
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roda and Jong PSV U21.
Our pick is Roda to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
On our numbers Roda have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong PSV U21 10%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
Our predicted score is Roda 2–0 Jong PSV U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
Roda vs Jong PSV U21 (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
